“双碳”目标下中国居民食物消费结构升级及碳排放分析研究
作者:
作者单位:

国家食品安全风险评估中心,国家卫生健康委员会食品安全风险评估重点实验室,北京 100021

作者简介:

马大燕 女 博士后 研究方向为食品安全与营养大数据分析、人工智能应用 E-mail:madayan@cfsa.net.cn

通讯作者:

潘登 男 副研究员 研究方向为食品安全与营养大数据分析、人工智能应用 E-mail:pandeng@cfsa.net.cn

中图分类号:

R155

基金项目:

2023年中心青年基金项目(2023006)


Upgrading food consumption structure and carbon emissions analysis under goals of carbon peak and carbon neutrality
Author:
Affiliation:

National Center for Food Safety Risk Assessment, Key Laboratory of Food Safety Risk Assessment,Ministry of Health, Beijing 100021, China

Fund Project:

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    摘要:

    目的 分析2014—2020年间中国居民食物消费结构及碳排放量,为倡导居民可持续消费模式,实现“双碳”目标提供科学支持。方法 以食物消费为对象,并进一步延伸至食物碳排放。综合运用食物碳排放系数和生命周期法,从直接和间接两个方面对我国居民食物消费引起的碳排放量进行全面的测算,探究食物碳排放演变趋势。结果 中国居民食物结构随动物性食物消费量逐年递增,温室气体排放量也有较大幅度增长。分别假设2030、2040、2050年逐渐调整其食物消费结构至膳食指南场景,温室气体排放总量分别在2030、2040、2049年达到峰值,温室气体排放量较现状水平均有一定幅度增加。结论 中国食物消费结构调整带来的碳减排压力较大,并结合上述结果结论,给出合理的政策启示。

    Abstract:

    Objective By analyzing the food consumption structure and carbon emissions among Chinese residents from 2014 to 2020, this study aims to provide scientific support for guiding residents towards adopting sustainable consumption patterns and achieving the dual carbon goals of carbon peak and carbon neutrality.Methods The study focuses on food consumption and extends to food-related carbon emissions. By using comprehensive food carbon emission coefficients and the life cycle assessment method, both direct and indirect carbon emissions caused by food consumption among Chinese residents were calculated, and the evolving trend of food-related carbon emissions is explored.Results The food structure of Chinese residents increases year by year with the animal food consumption, and the greenhouse gas emissions also increase significantly. Under the hypothetical scenarios assuming gradual adjustments of food consumption structure to meet dietary guidelines by 2030, 2040 and 2050, the total greenhouse gas emissions are projected to peak in 2030, 2040 and 2049, respectively, with certain increases compared to the current level.Conclusion The adjustment of food consumption structure in China has brought great pressure on carbon emission reduction. Based on the above results and conclusions, reasonable policy implications are proposed.

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马大燕,张朝正,潘登,吴永宁.“双碳”目标下中国居民食物消费结构升级及碳排放分析研究[J].中国食品卫生杂志,2023,35(7):975-980.

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  • 收稿日期:2023-06-30
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  • 在线发布日期: 2023-11-17
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