基于接触面积的饮料酒消费量概率评估参数构建研究
作者:
作者单位:

1.国家食品安全风险评估中心,北京 100022;2.河南省疾病预防控制中心,河南 郑州 450016

作者简介:

李杉 女 主管医师 研究方向为食品安全风险监测 E-mail:lishan8679@163.com

通讯作者:

隋海霞 女 研究员 研究方向为食品安全风险评估 E-mail:suihaixia@cfsa.net.cn

中图分类号:

R155

基金项目:

国家自然科学基金(32061160474)


Establishment of probability assessment parameters of consumption of alcoholic beverage based on the contact area
Author:
Affiliation:

1.China National Center for Food Safety Risk Assessment, Beijing 100022, China;2.Henan Center for Disease Prevention and Control, He’nan Zhengzhou 450016, China

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    摘要:

    目的 研究建立不同类型、不同接触材料饮料酒的基于接触面积的消费量数据库,为食品接触材料概率评估提供消费量参数和方法学支持。方法 将饮料酒食品接触面积/体积比(S/V)数据和饮料酒消费量数据作为两个独立的分布总体,采用蒙特卡洛(Monte Carlo)模拟方法分别在这两个总体中进行随机抽样并匹配对应类别相乘,得到不同接触材料饮料酒基于接触面积的消费量分布。以上过程模拟1 000次得到各统计量的抽样分布,从而量化模型的不确定性。结果 按饮料酒-材料组合分类,基于接触面积的消费量均值最高的为啤酒-玻璃,均值为5.500 dm2/d,95%CI为5.302~5.705 dm2/d。按食品接触材料分类,基于接触面积的消费量均值最高的为(铝)涂层,均值为5.213 dm2/d,95%CI为4.929~5.532 dm2/d。结论 饮料酒基于接触面积的消费量可以成为我国饮料酒食品接触材料概率评估的基础参数,可用于进行精确的膳食暴露评估。

    Abstract:

    Objective To support the probabilistic assessment of food contact materials with consumption parameters and methodology, the establishment of consumption data based on food contact area with different types of alcoholic beverages and different food contact materials was studied.Methods Based on probability distribution, food contact surface area/volume ratio (S/V) data and alcoholic beverages consumption data were regarded as two independent distribution populations. Monte Carlo simulation was used to calculate the distribution of the food contact area based on consumption data. One thousand rounds of random sampling were conducted in the two populations to quantify the uncertainty.Results Categorized by alcoholic beverages-food contact material, beer-glass had the highest average food contact area based on consumption, with an average of 5.500 dm2/d and a 95%CI of 5.302-5.705 dm2/d. Categorized by food contact material, alcoholic beverages with aluminum coating had the highest average food contact area based on consumption, with an average of 5.213 dm2/d and a 95%CI of 4.929-5.532 dm2/d.Conclusion The food contact area based on consumption data of alcoholic beverages can be the basic parameter for the probabilistic assessment of food contact materials of alcoholic beverages in China, which can be used for the accurate dietary exposure assessment.

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李杉,王彝白纳,杨道远,李建文,潘峰,隋海霞.基于接触面积的饮料酒消费量概率评估参数构建研究[J].中国食品卫生杂志,2022,34(5):957-961.

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  • 收稿日期:2022-08-08
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  • 在线发布日期: 2022-12-01
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