基于半定量风险评估的食品风险分级方法研究
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(1.广东省疾病预防控制中心,广东 广州 510300;2.广东省公共卫生研究院,广东 广州 511430)

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周少君 女 主管技师 研究方向为食品安全风险监测E-mail:jo73671@qq.com通讯作者:┣┣(中)通信作者┫┫杨杏芬 女 教授 研究方向为食品安全风险评估 E-mail:yangxingfen@21cn.com

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基金项目:

卫生部公益性行业科研专项(201302005);广东省公益研究与能力建设专项(2015A020218002);广东省医学科研基金指令性课题项目(C2014008)


Risk ranking method for chemical and biological hazards in food based on semi-quantitative risk assessment
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(Guangdong Provincial Center for Disease Control and Prevention,Guangdong Guangzhou 510300,China)

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    摘要:

    为科学评估食品中化学性因素、致病菌、寄生虫、病毒的风险,有效地把大量的监督抽检的数据和“三率”(超标率、合格率、不合格率)转化为风险的量化分级,为确立优先监管顺序提供科学依据。方法 采用经验判断、专家评议、Delphi专家咨询等方法,结合食品风险评估理论,建立基于半定量风险评估的风险分级的具体指标和方法。结果 初步建立了对食品中化学性因素和生物性因素的风险分级方法和指标体系。总风险分值=8×健康风险+2×影响因子,其中健康风险的一级指标为危害性、可能性、脆弱性,影响因子的一级指标为社会影响、经济影响、监管影响。每个一级指标由多个二级指标分段赋分值加权求和而成。结论 此风险分级方法和指标体系的初步建立,能识别出食品污染风险的优先次序,为监管部门制定有针对性的预警策略、确立优先监管领域和合理分配风险管理措施资源提供科学依据。

    Abstract:

    To evaluate and rank the risk of chemical, pathogenic, viral, and parasitic hazards in food according to the massive data from food supervision and inspection, explore methods of risk ranking, and provide scientific basis to set administrative priorities. Methods Based on theories of food risk assessment, expert review, judgment by experience and Delphi's expert consultation were adopted in this study to establish methods of risk ranking. Results The methods of risk ranking for chemical and biological hazards in food were preliminary developed. Total risk score=8×health risk+2×influential factor. First level indicators of health risk were severity, possibility and vulnerability. First level indicators of influence factor were social influence, economic influence and supervision influence. Each first level indicator was the weighted sum of several second level indicators. This established method was used to rank food risks based on 30 000 data from food safety supervision and inspection system in Guangdong Province in 2013-2014.Conclusion The methods of risk ranking and its indicator system identified the rank and priority of food risk, laid scientific foundation for risks assessment, decision-making and resources allocating.

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周少君,顿中军,梁骏华,邓小玲,闻剑,黄琼,黄芮,杨杏芬.基于半定量风险评估的食品风险分级方法研究[J].中国食品卫生杂志,2015,27(5):576-585.

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  • 收稿日期:2015-06-10
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  • 在线发布日期: 2015-11-03
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