Preliminary quantitative risk assessment of Norovirus in oysters at retail for Beijing residents
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(Key Laboratory for Food Safety Risk Assessment of Ministry of Health,China National Center for Food Safety Risk Assessment,Beijing 100021,China)收稿日期:┣┣(中)收稿日期┫┫2017-10-30 基金项目:┣┣(中)基金项目┫┫北京市自然科学基金(5141002)作者简介:┣┣(中)作者简介┫┫宋筱瑜 女 副研究员 研究方向为食品微生物风险评估 E-mail:xiaoyu.song@cfsa.net.cn通信作者:┣┣(中)通信作者┫┫朱江辉 男 副研究员 研究方向为食品微生物风险评估 E-mail:zhujianghui@cfsa.net.cn

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    Abstract:

    Objective To preliminary assess the risk of Norovirus infections by establishing oyster-Norovirus exposure model of Beijing residents from retail to table. Methods Health risk and the influencing factors were estimated using exposure assessment model with 356 quantitative detection data point of Norovirus in oysters collected in Beijing under simulated consumption scenarios and published dose-response model derived from outbreak data. Results The contamination level of GI and GII Norovirus positive samples were 2.62×104 copies/g (95%CI:3.73×103-1.54×105) and 5.02×104 copies/g (95%CI:8.13×103-2.52×105). For positive histo-blood group secretor groups, the risk of consuming one raw oyster potentially contaminated with GI and GII Norovirus were 0.93 (95%CI:0.73-0.98) and 0.95 (95%CI:0.80-0.99) respectively; for negative histo-blood group secretor groups, the risk 0.37 (95%CI:0.04-0.64) and 0.57 (95%CI:0.07-0.99). The estimated risk was mainly related to the assigned contamination level for those non-detected samples with the regression coefficient of 0.49. Uncertainty analysis showed that the detection level of the method used was higher than the ID50/LD50, which was the main source of uncertainty. Conclusion The risk of Norovirus infections after consuming raw oyster was high for Beijing residents; increasing the sensitivity and decreasing the limit of detection could decrease the uncertainty of the risk estimation.

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SONG Xiao-yu, LI Feng-qin, JIANG Tao, HAN Chun-hui, LI Nan, WANG Jia-hui, XU Hai-bin, ZHU Jiang-hui. Preliminary quantitative risk assessment of Norovirus in oysters at retail for Beijing residents[J].中国食品卫生杂志,2018,30(1):79-83.

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  • Received:October 30,2017
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  • Online: April 02,2018
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